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Tioga, North Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Tioga ND
National Weather Service Forecast for: Tioga ND
Issued by: National Weather Service Bismarck, ND
Updated: 3:29 am CDT Apr 25, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly clear, with a steady temperature around 35. Calm wind.
Mostly Clear

Friday

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 60. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Sunny

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Southeast wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Mostly Clear

Saturday

Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers.  Partly sunny, with a high near 55. Windy, with a southeast wind 16 to 21 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Slight Chance
Showers and
Windy
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Breezy, with a southeast wind 19 to 24 mph decreasing to 13 to 18 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
and Breezy
then Partly
Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 9 to 11 mph.
Mostly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Breezy, with an east wind 11 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely and
Breezy
Monday

Monday: A chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Windy, with a north wind 23 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.
Chance
Showers and
Windy
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Blustery, with a north wind 17 to 22 mph decreasing to 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph.
Partly Cloudy
and Blustery
then Mostly
Clear
Lo 35 °F Hi 60 °F Lo 38 °F Hi 55 °F Lo 40 °F Hi 70 °F Lo 40 °F Hi 52 °F Lo 27 °F

 

Overnight
 
Mostly clear, with a steady temperature around 35. Calm wind.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 60. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Friday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Southeast wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Saturday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. Windy, with a southeast wind 16 to 21 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Saturday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Breezy, with a southeast wind 19 to 24 mph decreasing to 13 to 18 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.
Sunday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 9 to 11 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Breezy, with an east wind 11 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
 
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Windy, with a north wind 23 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.
Monday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Blustery, with a north wind 17 to 22 mph decreasing to 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph.
Tuesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. South wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. South wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Wednesday
 
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Breezy, with a northwest wind 11 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. West wind 9 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Thursday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Tioga ND.

Weather Forecast Discussion
710
FXUS63 KBIS 250548
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1248 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near normal temperatures Friday and Saturday, followed by well
  above normal on Sunday.

- Strong south to southeast winds on Saturday, gusting as high
  as 40 mph.

- Medium to high chances of rain showers statewide at times
  Saturday through Monday, with low to medium chances for
  thunderstorms Sunday through Monday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

Little updates needed at this time. Clouds may linger across the
south tonight, with clearing skies in the north. Some patchy fog
is still possible, although location remains in line with the
previous forecast. Overall little changes to the forecast
needed at this time.

UPDATE
Issued at 1003 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

No major changes are needed for this update. Light rain has mostly
ended across our forecast area, and cloud cover is beginning to
rapidly diminish from the north. If the clearing reaches along and
south of I-94 by sunrise, model guidance favors patchy fog
development across southwest and possibly into south central North
Dakota.

UPDATE
Issued at 706 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Radar imagery shows scattered light rain showers in northwest North
Dakota early this evening, although webcams throughout the area
suggest most of it is virga. A slight chance of sprinkles was added
to the forecast to account for this. Much farther south, light rain
continues along the South Dakota border and up towards Jamestown,
but a steady diminishing trend from north to south is anticipated
through the evening.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 218 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Current surface analysis places low around the Four Corners
region, with broad high over the Prairie Provinces into the
Northern Plains. Upper level analysis places compact low over
western Montana, with west/southwest flow over our area. A few
waves moving through the flow are resulting in some showers
which are remaining over the southern parts of our area.

For the rest of this afternoon into this evening, light rain
showers will continue to move through southern portions of the
area before gradually dissipating this evening. With that said,
these should remain light. Thereafter, a quiet night is
expected.

On Friday, upper ridge passes over the area resulting in quiet
and dry conditions and seasonably mild temperatures.

As we go through Friday night into Saturday, upper low off the
California coast moves onshore, and quickly pushes into the
Great Basin with our upper flow shifting southwesterly. Surface
low deepens to our west, which will combine with a high over
the upper Midwest to bring gusty south to southeasterly winds to
our area, which will also allow Gulf moisture to stream up into
our area. Expect some rain showers to develop on Saturday
(~20-40% chance), lingering into the evening.

On Sunday, surface low sets up to the lee of the Rockies,
pushing east/northeast late day into the overnight, while upper
low shifts northeast. This sets up the scenario with enhanced
deep layer shear over the area with increasing instability, but
the fly in the ointment may be a developing cap. CSU-MLP remains
consistent with showing some severe possibility, notably over
the far southern portions of our area. Will have to keep an eye
on this for late day Sunday/Sunday evening. As we go through the
night Sunday into Monday, medium to high rain chances spread
across the area as surface low lifts northeast.

Thereafter, west to northwest flow with a variety of waves
moving through from time to time is on tap through mid-week,
which will keep low to medium chances for showers in the
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

Patchy fog may develop across southwest and possibly south
central North Dakota tonight into Friday morning, especially if
mid to high clouds clear out by sunrise. Confidence was not high
enough to include at any TAF sites at this time. Otherwise, VFR
conditions are expected through the forecast period. Light and
variable winds through tonight will become northeasterly around
5-10 kts in central North Dakota on Friday, and southeasterly
around 10-15 kts in the west.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Anglin
DISCUSSION...JJS
AVIATION...Anglin
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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